Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | GW -2500 UMES +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +6 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | GW -21.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -14.8 (-8.8) | 149.7 (-17.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -17.1 (-11.1) | 148.6 (-16.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -19.9 (-13.9) | 147.5 (-15.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -19.0 (-13.0) | 147.5 (-15.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2022 | GW 69 – 64 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#133) | -14.1 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#86) | -1.34 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#85) | -2.04 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#115) | 0.441 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 36.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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