Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | URI -145 NE +122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | NE -0.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -0.5 (+10.5) | 143.7 (+9.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | URI -1.6 (+9.4) | 141.7 (+11.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | URI -0.4 (+10.6) | 145.3 (+7.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -0.3 (+10.7) | 144.4 (+8.6) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2025 | URI 85 – 77 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-8 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#245) | 0.5 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#261) | 0.12 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#254) | 0.37 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#238) | 0.505 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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