Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | URI -650 NE +470 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | URI -11.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -12.2 (-4.2) | 138.8 (+23.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | URI -10.7 (-2.7) | 136.8 (+25.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | URI -11.3 (-3.3) | 139.3 (+22.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -11.8 (-3.8) | 139.5 (+22.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | URI 82 – 71 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 10-6 | 2-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#107) | -2.0 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#101) | -0.77 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#95) | -1.08 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#116) | 0.458 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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