Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | LUC -1200 CMU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +38 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -14.4 (+23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-35.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -10.4 (+27.6) | 139.1 (-31.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -11.5 (+26.5) | 140.9 (-32.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -11.9 (+26.1) | 140.9 (-32.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -12.0 (+26.0) | 139.8 (-31.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | LUC 83 – 72 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#166) | -9.6 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#186) | -0.93 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#178) | -1.54 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#159) | 0.459 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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