Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LUC -278 CMU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -0.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -0.4 (+11.4) | 136.1 (+18.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | CMU -0.2 (+11.2) | 136.5 (+18.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | LUC -0.0 (+11.0) | 136.2 (+18.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -0.3 (+10.7) | 139.1 (+15.9) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | LUC 73 – 35 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-10 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#335) | -7.4 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.33 (#350) | -1.18 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.86 (#348) | -1.89 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.339 (#353) | 0.425 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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