I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Stegeman Coliseum · December 30, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UGA -20.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Over
Money UGA -4000 / AAMU +1900
Model Predictions
Spread Total UGA win
Actual UGA +20 166 Won
Massey UGA -23.7 (-3.7)
Massey Totals 152.3 (+13.7)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML UGA -22.7 (-2.7) 150.7 (+15.3) 91%
Baseline ML UGA -21.2 (-1.2) 149.2 (+16.8) 91%
Baseline Tuned ML UGA -19.9 (+0.1) 151.3 (+14.7) 91%
Efficiency Plus ML UGA -19.1 (+0.9) 152.7 (+13.3) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 20, 2024 UGA 9345 AAMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UGA AAMU
Overall 20-17 12-23
Conference 6-12 9-9
Home 13-6 7-5
Away 6-6 4-15
Neutral 1-5 1-3
Last 5 5-0 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.7 69.0
Avg Pts Against 74.7 75.8
Massey 4.2 (#103) -15.1 (#355)
Bradley-Terry 1.47 (#68) -2.31 (#333)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.71 (#75) -3.32 (#331)
RPI 0.609 (#27) 0.391 (#342)
Shooting & Four Factors UGA AAMU
FG% 42.5% 39.5%
3PT% 33.8% 25.0%
REB / G 37.8 34.5
OREB / G 9.5 12.0
AST / TO 1.10 0.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 42.9%
TOV% 15.8% 20.8%
ORB% 26.0% 30.0%
FT Rate 30.4% 32.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.5% 56.5%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 19.8%
DRB% 68.7% 64.1%
Opp FT Rate 18.7% 36.5%

Game Analysis

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