Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -20000 AAMU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +48 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -15.5 (+32.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -21.4 (+26.6) | 148.1 (-10.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -20.8 (+27.2) | 146.3 (-8.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -16.8 (+31.2) | 144.9 (-6.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | UGA 93 – 73 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-3 | 8-9 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 79.9 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#81) | -3.3 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#43) | -1.34 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#78) | -2.06 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#49) | 0.125 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 35.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 15.8% |
| REB / G | 44.2 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 23.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 37.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 42.9% | 41.8% |
| FT Rate | 35.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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