Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK +100 SPU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +9 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -0.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -0.6 (-8.4) | 124.6 (+0.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -1.4 (-10.4) | 125.0 (+0.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -1.4 (-10.4) | 125.8 (-0.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -1.5 (-10.5) | 126.0 (-1.0) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | SPU 82 – 71 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#275) | -1.8 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#259) | -0.12 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#248) | -0.23 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#241) | 0.481 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
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