Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | HARV +140 IONA -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +9 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -5.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -5.3 (-14.3) | 143.2 (-14.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -3.0 (-12.0) | 143.0 (-14.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -4.1 (-13.1) | 143.2 (-14.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -4.2 (-13.2) | 142.2 (-13.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2024 | HARV 67 – 61 IONA |
| Nov 13, 2021 | IONA 90 – 87 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#157) | -0.3 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#71) | -0.48 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#93) | -0.27 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#74) | 0.468 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.