Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -215 HARV +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +6 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -3.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -1.9 (-7.9) | 137.8 (-9.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -2.6 (-8.6) | 136.7 (-8.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -2.9 (-8.9) | 137.5 (-9.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -2.5 (-8.5) | 138.5 (-10.5) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | IONA 69 – 60 HARV |
| Nov 13, 2021 | IONA 90 – 87 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#297) | -6.4 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#270) | -1.63 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#267) | -1.95 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#283) | 0.437 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 16.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 41.3% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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