Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | KU -1800 WICH +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +19 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | KU -9.6 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -7.7 (+11.3) | 144.6 (+8.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -9.3 (+9.7) | 142.4 (+10.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -8.6 (+10.4) | 142.5 (+10.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -8.0 (+11.0) | 143.3 (+9.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#29) | 3.2 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.77 (#6) | 0.64 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.78 (#7) | 0.73 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.662 (#6) | 0.548 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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