Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -26.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | RUTG -10000 STO +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +1 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -26.1 (-25.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -22.0 (-21.0) | 136.6 (-19.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -20.1 (-19.1) | 133.8 (-16.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -21.8 (-20.8) | 134.0 (-17.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -21.7 (-20.7) | 135.8 (-18.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 2-14 |
| Home | 12-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 3-9 | 0-19 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#82) | -15.2 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#93) | -2.21 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#79) | -2.88 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#103) | 0.425 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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