Rhonda had a house in Venice, lived on brown rice and cocaine. "88 Lines About 44 Women" - The Nails
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
80–20 on winners spread MAE 10.3 100 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Eastern Kentucky @ Purdue +25.5 158.2 91% 53–80 ✓
Illinois State @ Kentucky +17.5 148.3 89% 70–96 ✓
Radford @ Clemson +14.6 142.3 88% 58–93 ✓
Charlotte @ Stetson +0.4 139.1 51% 75–79 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Iowa +14.0 161.3 87% 74–103 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue Fort Wayne +10.5 148.3 85% 60–73 ✓
Evansville @ Cincinnati +12.2 150.6 85% 58–76 ✓
Niagara @ Buffalo +1.4 143.2 51% 69–63 ✗
East Tennessee State @ East Carolina +4.5 135.2 67% 86–70 ✗
McNeese @ Michigan +2.6 149.4 63% 87–76 ✗
Alabama State @ South Florida +11.8 140.3 86% 70–73 ✓
Maine @ Minnesota +13.9 138.0 88% 62–80 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Saint Joseph's +18.3 136.3 90% 56–97 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ UCF +19.4 138.9 90% 54–98 ✓
American University @ UMBC +1.2 156.2 52% 87–85 ✗
New Orleans @ Stephen F. Austin +11.1 147.0 86% 51–80 ✓
South Carolina State @ Nebraska +20.3 148.6 90% 62–91 ✓
Charleston Southern @ North Carolina +22.5 151.2 90% 60–105 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Texas +12.2 145.2 85% 37–72 ✓
Kent State @ Saint Mary's +10.4 138.4 80% 46–66 ✓
UNC Asheville @ UAB +2.6 150.0 63% 85–90 ✓
Robert Morris @ Milwaukee +2.4 151.2 57% 75–78 ✓
Northwestern State @ LSU +19.6 146.4 91% 55–96 ✓
Jackson State @ Northwestern +16.6 142.7 89% 63–74 ✓
Denver @ Omaha -3.0 148.5 37% 95–80 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota -0.4 131.7 50% 70–45 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Kansas City +0.1 144.5 50% 60–77 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota State +6.6 152.4 76% 75–66 ✗
Washington State @ Utah +7.9 143.8 78% 58–80 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +5.8 135.2 70% 58–67 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Southeast Missouri State +2.1 133.5 57% 91–93 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Illinois +24.3 160.6 91% 71–104 ✓
San Diego State @ Gonzaga +5.1 143.5 70% 84–74 ✗
Washington @ Colorado +6.7 160.4 74% 69–73 ✓
Utah Valley @ Boise State +13.0 133.7 85% 63–85 ✓
Fresno State @ San Diego +4.6 143.3 71% 71–67 ✗
Tarleton State @ Loyola Marymount +4.5 132.9 65% 79–66 ✗
Arizona @ California -13.6 164.4 16% 100–81 ✓
Arizona State @ Stanford +4.5 142.5 69% 76–73 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse +1.6 142.2 59% 73–81 ✓
Virginia @ Notre Dame -8.7 124.6 18% 54–76 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Delaware State -0.8 144.9 46% 73–77 ✗
William & Mary @ Navy +5.9 140.9 71% 65–77 ✓
Stonehill @ Rutgers +20.1 133.8 90% 58–59 ✓
Hofstra @ St. John's +5.2 140.7 69% 79–84 ✓
Lipscomb @ Florida State +6.1 144.5 71% 78–75 ✗
Northeastern @ Rhode Island +0.4 145.3 52% 71–82 ✓
Columbia @ Fordham +1.9 143.2 57% 78–87 ✓
UL Monroe @ App State +15.5 141.0 89% 55–67 ✓
Siena @ Massachusetts +24.1 145.3 91% 66–79 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Florida +16.5 157.1 88% 72–97 ✓
Davidson @ Ohio -4.3 142.1 33% 72–69 ✓
Creighton @ Marquette +4.3 146.0 71% 67–72 ✓
Queens University @ Duke +24.1 159.9 91% 69–106 ✓
Texas State @ James Madison +15.1 144.5 89% 65–82 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Wake Forest +2.5 141.9 62% 63–86 ✓
Central Michigan @ Loyola Chicago +11.5 140.9 87% 35–73 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Bucknell +1.4 125.0 52% 67–58 ✗
Indiana State @ Michigan State +5.2 147.4 67% 75–87 ✓
Howard @ La Salle +6.2 155.3 75% 71–66 ✗
Florida A&M @ South Carolina +17.9 132.7 90% 62–94 ✓
Princeton @ Delaware -2.5 143.9 36% 84–82 ✓
Lehigh @ Marist +11.6 131.1 82% 65–58 ✗
Liberty @ Alabama +5.8 153.2 71% 56–101 ✓
Merrimack @ Boston University +0.5 128.3 47% 63–74 ✓
Iona @ Harvard +4.1 143.2 70% 69–60 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ George Mason +17.1 147.6 90% 69–94 ✓
Troy @ Coastal Carolina -1.9 153.0 42% 72–65 ✓
Arkansas State @ Georgia State +2.3 145.0 64% 90–91 ✓
Longwood @ Dayton +12.4 139.2 85% 69–78 ✓
Le Moyne @ Fairfield +10.6 142.5 83% 72–78 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ VCU +13.6 139.1 87% 73–87 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Georgia +19.9 151.3 91% 73–93 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Western Kentucky +8.1 149.5 80% 84–86 ✓
Southern Miss @ Georgia Southern -2.7 140.9 37% 67–88 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Missouri +15.3 146.9 89% 59–92 ✓
Wichita State @ Kansas +9.3 142.4 80% 67–86 ✓
Colgate @ Cornell +7.2 147.4 77% 64–77 ✓
Chicago State @ DePaul +3.9 133.2 63% 58–70 ✓
Lafayette @ Richmond +18.5 135.7 90% 38–59 ✓
Campbell @ Saint Francis +1.1 124.5 47% 76–78 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech -3.6 156.4 38% 81–73 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Murray State +4.3 131.7 64% 54–75 ✓
Louisiana @ Marshall -0.3 147.8 49% 61–75 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ George Washington +17.1 148.6 90% 63–69 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Akron -3.5 140.8 36% 62–61 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State +5.1 154.5 74% 84–68 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado +3.4 150.6 64% 77–92 ✓
Montana State @ Weber State +11.7 136.1 87% 64–86 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon +8.5 137.6 80% 59–64 ✓
Dartmouth @ Vanderbilt +4.6 130.3 66% 53–69 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Arkansas +5.9 149.5 70% 90–106 ✓
Florida International @ Utah Tech +5.5 146.3 71% 92–96 ✓
Little Rock @ Tennessee State +2.1 154.5 63% 82–90 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Davis +5.8 135.9 74% 46–71 ✓
Portland State @ Idaho +0.0 137.1 52% 77–72 ✗
Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington +11.2 142.2 87% 61–87 ✓
Wyoming @ BYU +24.1 151.7 91% 68–94 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ San Francisco +25.4 130.3 91% 42–92 ✓
Montana @ Idaho State -2.4 140.8 41% 76–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.