The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–6 on winners spread MAE 10.5 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Central Arkansas @ Oklahoma +24.0 147.2 91% 72–88 ✓
Oakland @ Cleveland State +2.3 144.7 63% 67–75 ✓
Coppin State @ Maryland +23.2 130.2 91% 53–75 ✓
UAlbany @ Long Island University -9.7 147.5 19% 86–69 ✓
Sam Houston @ Texas Tech +15.8 142.8 88% 60–96 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ UTSA +2.3 147.7 59% 89–103 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee State +3.5 159.7 66% 91–75 ✗
Little Rock @ Tennessee Tech +1.2 149.1 55% 81–75 ✗
USC @ Oregon +5.0 148.5 73% 74–82 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -0.5 143.8 45% 62–76 ✗
Montana @ Weber State +4.6 133.0 71% 63–93 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho State +2.2 137.1 60% 74–66 ✗
Sacramento State @ Idaho +6.3 141.1 75% 58–61 ✓
Portland State @ Eastern Washington +0.6 143.6 51% 57–91 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon State +2.3 132.7 62% 69–62 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly -2.4 141.8 40% 83–73 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC San Diego +8.5 133.9 81% 64–76 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton -1.1 141.2 48% 81–71 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Irvine +14.7 139.8 88% 66–73 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ IU Indianapolis +0.6 137.5 49% 55–67 ✓
Wright State @ Green Bay -1.4 145.3 47% 77–88 ✗
Rider @ Penn State +12.1 149.2 86% 63–90 ✓
Valparaiso @ Elon +5.3 140.8 70% 78–82 ✓
North Florida @ Miami +20.8 151.2 90% 55–95 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Indiana +8.0 159.9 79% 87–100 ✓
Brown @ Stony Brook +4.4 142.4 67% 65–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.