I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–14 on winners spread MAE 9.4 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Pennsylvania @ Houston +22.8 132.5 91% 42–81 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida Gulf Coast -11.2 143.9 16% 68–72 ✗
Austin Peay @ Memphis +16.2 139.4 88% 70–81 ✓
UIC @ Southern Illinois +6.3 133.2 72% 50–62 ✓
Bellarmine @ High Point +13.2 140.6 88% 85–90 ✓
Wagner @ Manhattan +2.8 131.9 64% 68–56 ✗
South Alabama @ Old Dominion +1.5 146.9 57% 61–59 ✗
Yale @ Santa Clara +5.5 147.1 71% 66–58 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Texas A&M +19.7 144.1 91% 54–79 ✓
West Virginia @ Ohio State +12.2 140.2 84% 75–78 ✓
Incarnate Word @ UT Rio Grande Valley +0.7 149.1 51% 74–77 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Grand Canyon +7.4 140.7 79% 70–73 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside +1.7 140.7 58% 77–79 ✓
Seattle U @ UTEP -0.8 141.3 46% 73–61 ✓
California Baptist @ New Mexico State -1.0 139.5 47% 61–66 ✗
Chattanooga @ Auburn +19.3 152.4 90% 66–101 ✓
USC @ Oregon State -2.4 144.6 40% 70–86 ✗
UC Irvine @ Cal State Bakersfield -10.2 140.3 18% 75–56 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +8.3 133.3 80% 63–61 ✗
Robert Morris @ Green Bay +4.9 139.2 70% 61–78 ✓
New Hampshire @ Iowa State +21.0 156.6 90% 70–85 ✓
Washington State @ Colorado +7.2 143.3 78% 67–74 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne +15.6 141.0 91% 56–91 ✓
Cleveland State @ IU Indianapolis -11.1 142.3 15% 86–77 ✓
Monmouth @ Oklahoma +17.0 145.4 89% 56–72 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi State +23.0 141.2 91% 62–85 ✓
South Carolina State @ Oklahoma State +16.8 147.2 90% 70–86 ✓
Wright State @ Milwaukee -0.9 161.5 46% 83–91 ✗
Oakland @ Youngstown State +3.6 142.6 74% 88–81 ✗
Omaha @ South Dakota +3.4 149.4 66% 67–51 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +5.9 141.9 75% 61–80 ✓
Kansas City @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +9.9 132.4 83% 56–77 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Lindenwood +3.4 135.5 64% 73–62 ✗
Arizona @ Stanford -11.6 164.8 18% 82–100 ✗
Bryant @ Ole Miss +11.5 146.9 84% 78–95 ✓
Morgan State @ NJIT +3.9 148.8 67% 53–69 ✓
Western Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +4.0 133.5 67% 78–70 ✗
Morehead State @ Southeast Missouri State -11.4 141.9 16% 83–64 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Denver +8.1 155.7 81% 89–86 ✗
Washington @ Utah +8.5 156.6 82% 90–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.