← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 10.1
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona State
@
California
|
+0.6 | 145.3 | 50% | 71–69 | ✗ |
Hampton
@
Drexel
|
+12.0 | 137.6 | 86% | 65–99 | ✓ |
UT Arlington
@
Texas
|
+16.6 | 144.2 | 89% | 62–79 | ✓ |
North Alabama
@
Texas Tech
|
+17.2 | 146.4 | 89% | 57–85 | ✓ |
East Texas A&M
@
TCU
|
+20.2 | 149.6 | 91% | 42–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.