Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | DREX -1200 HAMP +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +34 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -17.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -12.8 (+21.2) | 139.4 (+24.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -12.3 (+21.7) | 139.2 (+24.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -12.0 (+22.0) | 137.6 (+26.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -12.3 (+21.7) | 138.5 (+25.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | DREX 58 – 51 HAMP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | DREX 53 – 52 HAMP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAMP 63 – 58 DREX |
| Feb 18, 2023 | HAMP 75 – 72 DREX |
| Jan 20, 2023 | DREX 79 – 73 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-10 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#139) | -10.8 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#167) | -2.49 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#182) | -2.81 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#159) | 0.371 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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