Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP +230 DREX -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -7.4 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -8.0 (+11.0) | 138.2 (+8.8) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -9.1 (+12.1) | 135.6 (+11.4) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -7.6 (+10.6) | 135.6 (+11.4) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -7.7 (+10.7) | 137.7 (+9.3) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | DREX 58 – 51 HAMP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | DREX 53 – 52 HAMP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAMP 63 – 58 DREX |
| Jan 1, 2024 | DREX 99 – 65 HAMP |
| Jan 20, 2023 | DREX 79 – 73 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#345) | -1.3 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#343) | -0.33 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#346) | -0.39 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#338) | 0.483 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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