Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -175 HAMP +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +1 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -4.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -2.4 (-1.4) | 134.4 (-29.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -3.9 (-2.9) | 132.4 (-27.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -1.9 (-0.9) | 131.8 (-26.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -2.2 (-1.2) | 133.2 (-28.2) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | DREX 58 – 51 HAMP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAMP 63 – 58 DREX |
| Jan 1, 2024 | DREX 99 – 65 HAMP |
| Feb 18, 2023 | HAMP 75 – 72 DREX |
| Jan 20, 2023 | DREX 79 – 73 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#195) | -3.2 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#212) | -0.41 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#209) | -0.54 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#217) | 0.495 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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