Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +105 DREX -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +5 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -0.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -0.2 (+4.8) | 137.5 (-16.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -1.5 (+6.5) | 135.5 (-14.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -0.4 (+4.6) | 136.6 (-15.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -0.2 (+5.2) | 137.2 (-16.2) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | DREX 58 – 51 HAMP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | DREX 53 – 52 HAMP |
| Jan 1, 2024 | DREX 99 – 65 HAMP |
| Feb 18, 2023 | HAMP 75 – 72 DREX |
| Jan 20, 2023 | DREX 79 – 73 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#255) | -1.7 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#244) | -0.52 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#236) | -0.61 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#206) | 0.472 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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