Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | DREX -1200 HAMP +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -19.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -15.3 (-9.3) | 134.3 (+17.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -15.1 (-9.1) | 136.1 (+15.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -14.0 (-8.0) | 135.8 (+16.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -15.2 (-9.2) | 135.6 (+16.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | DREX 58 – 51 HAMP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | DREX 53 – 52 HAMP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAMP 63 – 58 DREX |
| Jan 1, 2024 | DREX 99 – 65 HAMP |
| Feb 18, 2023 | HAMP 75 – 72 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#148) | -14.4 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#215) | -2.58 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#195) | -3.21 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#273) | 0.388 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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