Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -148 HAMP +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +7 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -5.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -4.0 (+3.0) | 131.8 (-22.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -4.2 (+2.8) | 129.5 (-20.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -4.5 (+2.5) | 129.7 (-20.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -3.9 (+3.1) | 131.3 (-22.3) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | DREX 53 – 52 HAMP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAMP 63 – 58 DREX |
| Jan 1, 2024 | DREX 99 – 65 HAMP |
| Feb 18, 2023 | HAMP 75 – 72 DREX |
| Jan 20, 2023 | DREX 79 – 73 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#203) | -5.0 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#231) | -0.92 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#221) | -1.40 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#235) | 0.449 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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