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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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70–26 on winners spread MAE 9.7 96 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Southern @ Louisiana Tech +9.0 147.9 80% 59–74 ✓
Boston University @ Merrimack -6.2 131.7 21% 68–54 ✓
Campbell @ East Carolina +2.2 136.6 61% 69–79 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Mercer +2.6 138.8 55% 66–63 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ James Madison +20.1 151.2 90% 80–97 ✓
South Dakota State @ Kent State +12.8 142.3 87% 68–83 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Florida +5.5 137.7 75% 59–79 ✓
Wake Forest @ Clemson +2.6 151.5 61% 57–77 ✓
Pittsburgh @ NC State +9.5 147.0 82% 68–60 ✗
Towson @ Long Island University -13.1 139.1 12% 74–64 ✓
Massachusetts @ Harvard +1.8 135.2 53% 71–68 ✗
Canisius @ Siena +4.8 150.1 72% 70–74 ✓
Niagara @ Iona +11.3 133.1 81% 56–78 ✓
App State @ Charlotte +9.6 123.5 83% 62–71 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Liberty +12.4 132.8 86% 59–79 ✓
Florida A&M @ Georgia +19.4 130.3 90% 46–68 ✓
Northeastern @ Georgia Tech +13.1 133.6 84% 63–81 ✓
Baylor @ Gonzaga -1.2 155.8 41% 64–63 ✓
Colgate @ Auburn +11.9 141.6 82% 66–93 ✓
UT Arlington @ LSU +19.4 129.8 89% 59–63 ✓
Illinois @ Maryland +3.1 146.8 55% 66–71 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Idaho +1.8 140.4 46% 47–84 ✓
Fordham @ Tulane +6.0 144.5 68% 95–90 ✗
Saint Francis @ Ohio State +26.0 147.3 91% 59–96 ✓
Chattanooga @ Gardner-Webb +5.4 132.8 65% 82–71 ✗
Syracuse @ Notre Dame +7.0 136.0 72% 62–61 ✗
South Carolina State @ Furman +18.4 154.6 90% 76–88 ✓
South Carolina @ Georgetown +7.2 139.7 73% 74–71 ✗
Oklahoma @ Villanova -0.7 129.1 50% 66–70 ✗
Indiana State @ Miami (OH) -4.0 157.6 36% 88–61 ✓
Charleston @ The Citadel -5.7 147.4 23% 79–57 ✓
Wagner @ Army -1.7 146.3 48% 64–75 ✗
VCU @ Temple +1.3 133.1 53% 73–83 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Saint Joseph's +10.5 153.2 81% 97–80 ✗
Navy @ VMI -8.4 141.7 30% 72–80 ✗
Florida State @ Virginia +18.3 135.8 90% 57–62 ✓
Morgan State @ Bowling Green +1.8 142.8 70% 76–86 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Mississippi State +27.1 129.2 91% 52–82 ✓
North Alabama @ Morehead State +6.3 141.6 66% 81–75 ✗
Princeton @ Drexel -0.2 132.2 42% 83–63 ✓
Davidson @ Delaware +1.4 150.4 60% 67–69 ✓
North Florida @ High Point +10.1 155.9 86% 88–93 ✓
Bucknell @ NJIT -0.1 132.4 54% 79–63 ✓
Evansville @ Northern Iowa +9.9 131.7 82% 55–72 ✓
UMBC @ Lehigh +1.7 148.6 52% 88–62 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Sacred Heart -6.0 149.7 25% 70–59 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Winthrop +4.8 146.6 63% 86–81 ✗
UT Martin @ UNC Asheville +9.0 153.9 80% 83–90 ✓
Toledo @ George Mason +1.6 150.7 58% 73–80 ✓
Ball State @ Duquesne +6.6 141.9 75% 77–78 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Dayton +11.8 136.4 82% 74–80 ✓
La Salle @ Pennsylvania +6.8 140.0 72% 84–81 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Dartmouth -3.8 134.0 50% 54–79 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Butler +18.8 143.5 90% 66–80 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Buffalo -0.7 142.9 48% 66–83 ✗
Troy @ SIU Edwardsville +0.0 142.4 61% 72–78 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Tulsa -0.7 157.2 44% 77–66 ✓
Longwood @ Delaware State -10.7 138.0 17% 75–49 ✓
Jackson State @ SMU +9.1 140.4 79% 69–68 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State +5.5 137.4 69% 77–92 ✓
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne +8.6 150.1 82% 73–79 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Western Illinois +3.2 151.9 76% 72–90 ✓
South Dakota @ BYU +8.2 141.1 77% 69–68 ✗
Indiana @ Rutgers +0.9 130.6 53% 48–63 ✓
San José State @ Arkansas +17.6 138.3 89% 58–99 ✓
Boston College @ Duke +17.1 129.4 88% 59–75 ✓
Tennessee State @ Austin Peay +1.4 133.6 54% 61–77 ✓
New Hampshire @ Columbia +0.1 134.1 55% 52–56 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Elon -0.5 131.4 35% 65–61 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Wyoming -1.9 128.9 39% 66–58 ✓
Long Beach State @ Utah Valley +3.6 143.9 75% 78–88 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Saint Louis +6.3 139.3 70% 72–85 ✓
Air Force @ Portland State +5.9 142.6 77% 64–68 ✓
Rider @ Mount St. Mary's +7.4 144.5 73% 68–65 ✗
Jacksonville State @ East Tennessee State +2.7 139.0 54% 63–61 ✗
DePaul @ Loyola Chicago -0.2 141.9 52% 78–72 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Colorado State +18.0 152.8 87% 88–83 ✗
Wisconsin @ Marquette +11.4 139.5 82% 80–77 ✗
Stonehill @ Binghamton +0.9 142.7 53% 69–66 ✗
Sacramento State @ Santa Clara +12.2 144.5 87% 65–72 ✓
Ohio @ Marshall +8.5 152.2 80% 69–83 ✓
Howard @ Hampton +2.5 145.0 63% 65–74 ✓
Coppin State @ Loyola Maryland +2.8 151.6 65% 74–71 ✗
Louisiana @ LSU New Orleans -10.0 157.8 16% 78–77 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Grambling +8.7 132.1 79% 39–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ Eastern Washington +5.5 140.0 71% 70–78 ✓
Pacific @ UC Santa Barbara +5.7 142.4 72% 71–82 ✓
Providence @ Rhode Island -1.3 134.3 39% 88–74 ✓
Wofford @ Vanderbilt +5.1 139.2 71% 62–65 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Western Carolina +10.7 148.2 82% 79–64 ✗
UIC @ Drake +14.4 141.8 88% 64–77 ✓
Omaha @ North Texas +16.2 126.8 88% 45–75 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Holy Cross +0.4 133.0 51% 57–63 ✓
Robert Morris @ Northern Kentucky +4.0 131.7 72% 56–60 ✓
Yale @ Stony Brook -12.5 133.1 13% 77–72 ✓
West Virginia @ Xavier +0.8 150.4 63% 74–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.