Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -19.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
| Money | LSU -2800 UTA +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -20.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -16.7 (-12.7) | 130.0 (-8.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -19.4 (-15.4) | 129.8 (-7.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -17.2 (-13.2) | 133.6 (-11.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -16.7 (-12.7) | 132.4 (-10.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-8 | 6-8 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 62.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#79) | -8.6 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#49) | -1.39 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#44) | -1.87 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#71) | 0.457 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 32.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 25.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 36.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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