Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -6.5 Away covered |
| Money | NKU -275 RMU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +4 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -3.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -1.7 (+2.3) | 133.0 (-17.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -4.0 (-0.0) | 131.7 (-15.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -2.0 (+2.0) | 133.6 (-17.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -1.8 (+2.2) | 134.3 (-18.3) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | RMU 92 – 89 NKU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NKU 79 – 77 RMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RMU 81 – 76 NKU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | RMU 97 – 93 NKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | NKU 70 – 60 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#277) | -3.2 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#257) | -1.64 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#252) | -1.05 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#258) | 0.377 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 12.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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