Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -450 UIW +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +33 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -12.3 (+20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -9.9 (+23.1) | 135.1 (-24.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -8.7 (+24.3) | 132.1 (-21.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -8.3 (+24.7) | 135.3 (-24.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -8.9 (+24.1) | 135.3 (-24.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | UIW 63 – 61 GRAM |
| Dec 11, 2021 | UIW 72 – 62 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#190) | -6.5 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#148) | -0.67 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#118) | -1.84 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#137) | 0.463 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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