Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | GRAM -398 UIW +307 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -8.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -5.1 (-7.1) | 139.0 (-15.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -5.2 (-7.2) | 135.2 (-11.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -5.0 (-7.0) | 136.5 (-12.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -5.1 (-7.1) | 136.2 (-12.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | GRAM 72 – 39 UIW |
| Dec 11, 2021 | UIW 72 – 62 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#204) | -9.1 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#68) | -2.52 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#77) | -4.59 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#45) | 0.395 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.7% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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