Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UIW -0.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -1.8 (+8.2) | 140.1 (-6.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -1.6 (+8.4) | 138.2 (-4.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -0.1 (+10.1) | 138.6 (-4.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -0.5 (+10.5) | 141.8 (-7.8) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | GRAM 72 – 39 UIW |
| Nov 27, 2022 | UIW 63 – 61 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 7-4 |
| Away | 1-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#341) | -8.5 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.60 (#349) | -0.69 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.05 (#350) | -0.82 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#304) | 0.493 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 26.3 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 25.6% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 60.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.