Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | HARV +120 MASS -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -2.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -1.8 (-4.8) | 135.2 (+3.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -3.8 (-6.8) | 135.2 (+3.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -3.9 (-6.9) | 134.6 (+4.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -3.5 (-6.5) | 133.5 (+5.5) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | MASS 78 – 71 HARV |
| Nov 27, 2024 | MASS 62 – 54 HARV |
| Nov 18, 2023 | HARV 78 – 75 MASS |
| Dec 4, 2021 | MASS 87 – 77 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#153) | 5.0 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#114) | 2.14 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#140) | 2.53 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#140) | 0.601 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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