Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -250 HARV +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -5.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -5.4 (+1.6) | 134.7 (+14.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -4.2 (+2.8) | 138.5 (+10.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -3.7 (+3.3) | 139.4 (+9.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -4.0 (+3.0) | 136.3 (+12.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | MASS 62 – 54 HARV |
| Nov 18, 2023 | HARV 78 – 75 MASS |
| Dec 3, 2022 | MASS 71 – 68 HARV |
| Dec 4, 2021 | MASS 87 – 77 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-4 |
| Home | 11-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#195) | -1.9 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#217) | -0.76 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#212) | -1.72 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#265) | 0.452 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.8% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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