Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -138 HARV +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -5.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -2.8 (-5.8) | 151.2 (+1.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -4.7 (-7.7) | 152.7 (+0.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -7.7 (-10.7) | 153.4 (-0.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -6.9 (-9.9) | 155.7 (-2.7) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | MASS 78 – 71 HARV |
| Nov 27, 2024 | MASS 62 – 54 HARV |
| Dec 3, 2022 | MASS 71 – 68 HARV |
| Dec 4, 2021 | MASS 87 – 77 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#55) | 10.6 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#50) | 1.76 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#53) | 2.53 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#17) | 0.597 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 42.0% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 3.58 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 7.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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