Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -225 RGV +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +18 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -6.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -5.6 (+12.4) | 152.5 (+9.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -3.2 (+14.8) | 151.9 (+10.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -3.5 (+14.5) | 154.1 (+7.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -3.6 (+14.4) | 152.3 (+9.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2022 | RGV 78 – 77 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#287) | -7.1 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#206) | 0.76 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#224) | 1.60 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#231) | 0.539 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 40.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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