Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | RGV +140 WIU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +1 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | RGV -2.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -1.1 (+2.1) | 148.3 (+6.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -0.2 (+1.2) | 148.4 (+6.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -0.8 (+0.2) | 149.2 (+5.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -1.3 (-0.3) | 149.7 (+5.3) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | WIU 90 – 72 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#331) | -4.4 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#241) | 0.87 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#237) | 0.64 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#229) | 0.540 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 21.9% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.49 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 33.2% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 36.3% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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