Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | LT -400 SOU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +15 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | LT -9.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -6.7 (+8.3) | 149.7 (-16.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -8.4 (+6.6) | 149.0 (-16.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -7.6 (+7.4) | 148.5 (-15.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -9.0 (+6.0) | 147.9 (-14.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | SOU 73 – 70 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#89) | 1.1 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#88) | -0.25 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#113) | -0.50 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#146) | 0.533 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 26.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 48.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.