It's tough kid, but it's life. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Capital One Arena · December 3, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread GTWN -5.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money GTWN -250 / SC +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total GTWN win
Actual SC +3 145 Lost
Massey GTWN -14.5 (-17.5) — —
Massey Totals — 138.6 (+6.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 78% ✗
Baseline Plus ML GTWN -8.6 (-11.6) 138.7 (+6.3) 81% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GTWN -7.2 (-10.2) 139.7 (+5.3) 73% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML GTWN -9.0 (-12.0) 137.7 (+7.3) 82% ✗
Baseline ML GTWN -9.2 (-12.2) 138.5 (+6.5) 82% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 5, 2021 SC 80 – 67 GTWN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GTWN SC
Overall 7-25 11-21
Conference 2-18 4-14
Home 5-12 7-8
Away 1-11 4-8
Neutral 1-2 0-5
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 69.5 64.3
Avg Pts Against 78.1 72.6
Massey -3.2 (#239) -11.5 (#342)
Bradley-Terry -0.75 (#247) -0.37 (#218)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.03 (#244) -0.88 (#237)
RPI 0.469 (#220) 0.480 (#208)
Shooting & Four Factors GTWN SC
FG% 44.5% 38.7%
3PT% 36.2% 32.3%
REB / G 37.4 36.1
OREB / G 11.2 12.4
AST / TO 0.92 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 44.8%
TOV% 18.5% 20.7%
ORB% 30.4% 33.1%
FT Rate 22.1% 16.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 17.3%
DRB% 67.4% 72.5%
Opp FT Rate 16.8% 11.9%

Game Analysis

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