Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | SC -210 GTWN +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SC -10.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -7.6 (+5.4) | 144.4 (+2.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -6.7 (+6.3) | 141.6 (+5.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -7.4 (+5.6) | 144.4 (+2.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -7.6 (+5.4) | 144.1 (+2.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | SC 74 – 71 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 0-19 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-11 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L21 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#165) | -3.7 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#102) | -1.22 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#122) | -1.54 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#95) | 0.405 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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