Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -275 CAN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -10.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -6.8 (-2.8) | 149.1 (-5.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -4.8 (-0.8) | 150.1 (-6.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -5.8 (-1.8) | 146.2 (-2.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -6.0 (-2.0) | 147.2 (-3.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIE 78 – 63 CAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | SIE 74 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CAN 93 – 88 SIE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | SIE 66 – 53 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAN 73 – 64 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#200) | -5.5 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#237) | -1.26 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#210) | -1.32 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#261) | 0.440 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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