Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -1600 OMA +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +30 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -13.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -16.2 (+13.8) | 126.8 (-6.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -10.0 (+20.0) | 131.6 (-11.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -11.4 (+18.6) | 132.5 (-12.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -11.7 (+18.3) | 126.2 (-6.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2023 | UNT 75 – 64 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-7 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 10-3 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 56.3 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#133) | -4.6 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#80) | -0.41 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#76) | -0.52 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#103) | 0.490 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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