Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | UNT -1400 OMA +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -9.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -8.4 (+2.6) | 143.4 (-4.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -9.1 (+1.9) | 142.8 (-3.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | UNT 75 – 45 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#212) | 0.4 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#120) | -0.27 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#134) | -0.28 (#180) |
| RPI | — | 0.750 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 11.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 57.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.3% | 12.7% |
Game Analysis
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