Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | TULN -600 FOR +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +5 | 185 | Lost |
| Massey | TULN -8.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+43.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -6.0 (-11.0) | 144.5 (+40.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -5.4 (-10.4) | 141.9 (+43.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -5.1 (-10.1) | 143.7 (+41.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -5.3 (-10.3) | 145.5 (+39.5) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | TULN 89 – 81 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 18-2 |
| Away | 5-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#165) | -1.3 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#157) | 1.56 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#176) | 1.98 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#192) | 0.573 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.77 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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