Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | FOR +135 TULN -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +8 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | FOR -1.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -2.9 (-10.9) | 147.9 (+22.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -2.7 (-10.7) | 145.1 (+24.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -2.6 (-10.6) | 146.3 (+23.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -2.7 (-10.7) | 148.6 (+21.4) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | FOR 95 – 90 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-11 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#146) | 6.0 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#194) | 1.05 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#209) | 1.42 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#188) | 0.518 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 53.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 5.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 58.2% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 41.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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