Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LIU +1400 TOW -2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +10 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | TOW -14.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -9.6 (-0.4) | 137.6 (+0.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -13.1 (+3.1) | 139.1 (-1.1) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -11.7 (+1.7) | 134.7 (+3.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -12.0 (+2.0) | 137.1 (+0.9) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2021 | TOW 72 – 63 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 2-10 | 10-2 |
| Away | 1-14 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -16.4 (#357) | 4.2 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#333) | 2.49 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.96 (#334) | 3.45 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#314) | 0.566 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.51 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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