Betting Lines
| Spread | XAV -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | XAV -167 WVU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | XAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | XAV +10 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -1.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | XAV -0.8 (+9.2) | 150.4 (+7.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -0.1 (+10.1) | 151.3 (+6.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | XAV -0.8 (+9.2) | 151.2 (+6.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | XAV -0.9 (+9.1) | 152.1 (+5.9) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2025 | XAV 78 – 68 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | XAV | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#38) | 17.6 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#118) | 2.91 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#100) | 4.83 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#142) | 0.647 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | XAV | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.4% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 43.2% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 26.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
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