Xavier
Musketeers
78
–
68
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
West Virginia
Mountaineers
Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | XAV +220 WVU -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | XAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | XAV +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -4.7 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -3.2 (+13.2) | 130.7 (+15.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -3.8 (+13.8) | 132.4 (+13.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -3.9 (+13.9) | 132.5 (+13.5) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -2.9 (+12.9) | 134.3 (+11.7) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | XAV 84 – 74 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | XAV | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#143) | 6.5 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#199) | 0.83 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#192) | 1.70 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#104) | 0.536 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | XAV | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 77.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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