And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–15 on winners spread MAE 10.3 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Richmond @ William & Mary -2.9 135.9 42% 57–58 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Fairfield +3.0 127.3 59% 55–67 ✓
Norfolk State @ Old Dominion +9.5 136.2 85% 62–68 ✓
Boise State @ Texas A&M -0.2 133.9 44% 86–71 ✓
Ole Miss @ Memphis +6.6 128.5 76% 57–68 ✓
Bradley @ Missouri State +5.4 126.9 64% 58–40 ✗
Lindenwood @ Kansas City +5.7 135.7 68% 47–61 ✓
Southern Utah @ Idaho State +0.5 147.6 57% 69–59 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Pepperdine +10.8 147.9 83% 69–88 ✓
North Dakota @ Portland +13.0 145.5 88% 69–90 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Milwaukee +17.5 142.2 90% 61–74 ✓
South Dakota State @ Alabama +15.4 155.4 89% 65–78 ✓
California Baptist @ Cal Poly -1.4 128.7 43% 53–64 ✗
Utah Tech @ Weber State -0.4 138.1 57% 77–65 ✓
Fresno State @ UC Irvine +13.1 131.9 83% 80–66 ✗
Wichita State @ Kansas State +7.8 136.1 81% 50–55 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Houston +8.3 119.2 79% 48–53 ✓
UNLV @ San Diego -2.4 140.8 32% 95–78 ✓
Nevada @ Loyola Marymount +0.1 144.1 55% 52–64 ✓
Maine @ Marist -2.9 129.2 40% 61–62 ✗
Bryant @ Cincinnati +3.9 151.3 64% 71–97 ✓
Michigan @ Kentucky +4.9 149.0 68% 69–73 ✓
Lafayette @ Cornell +11.3 137.3 85% 68–73 ✓
Miami @ Louisville -14.7 136.3 13% 80–53 ✓
Canisius @ Iona +15.6 148.0 87% 60–90 ✓
Youngstown State @ Wright State -5.1 154.2 28% 88–77 ✓
Murray State @ Valparaiso -3.2 140.7 31% 77–70 ✓
Belmont @ Illinois State -2.8 139.3 38% 77–87 ✗
Vermont @ Merrimack -7.5 128.9 22% 66–43 ✓
Georgia State @ Northeastern +1.3 131.8 58% 46–66 ✓
Samford @ UCF +4.7 139.2 76% 77–80 ✓
George Washington @ Radford +5.4 140.1 71% 76–86 ✓
South Alabama @ UAB +13.1 152.4 87% 68–76 ✓
Monmouth @ Manhattan +8.5 136.0 75% 76–69 ✗
Stetson @ Florida +9.6 150.1 84% 51–89 ✓
Brown @ Hartford -10.6 129.4 15% 65–51 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Eastern Michigan -10.5 150.6 15% 101–73 ✓
North Carolina @ Virginia Tech +2.3 149.6 69% 72–80 ✓
St. John's @ Iowa State +9.5 139.5 78% 60–71 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Chicago State -5.6 146.8 34% 61–78 ✗
Rice @ Texas State +10.0 141.9 75% 83–71 ✗
Niagara @ Quinnipiac +7.7 133.9 75% 64–60 ✗
Colorado @ Washington -1.1 139.6 48% 63–73 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Denver +1.3 140.7 52% 75–84 ✓
Utah @ Washington State +3.9 133.8 65% 67–65 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Missouri +14.7 153.6 88% 89–96 ✓
Nebraska @ Creighton +12.0 139.9 82% 63–53 ✗
Southern Miss @ Northwestern State -3.3 134.8 46% 82–84 ✗
California @ Arizona +19.9 144.3 90% 68–81 ✓
Minnesota @ Purdue +19.7 138.5 89% 70–89 ✓
Oregon @ UCLA +11.2 138.5 84% 56–65 ✓
Alcorn State @ Tennessee +23.4 132.1 90% 40–94 ✓
Florida International @ Florida Gulf Coast +15.1 147.1 86% 65–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.