Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | WEB -180 UTU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +12 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UTU -2.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -0.4 (-11.6) | 138.1 (+3.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -0.5 (-11.5) | 142.9 (-0.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -1.2 (-10.8) | 143.6 (-1.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -1.8 (-10.2) | 140.2 (+1.8) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | UTU 82 – 80 WEB |
| Dec 14, 2024 | WEB 73 – 71 UTU |
| Nov 28, 2021 | WEB 87 – 70 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#306) | 0.3 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#296) | 0.52 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#308) | 0.31 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#283) | 0.539 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.5% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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