Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | COR -400 LAF +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | COR -12.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -10.6 (-5.6) | 134.4 (+6.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | COR -11.3 (-6.3) | 137.3 (+3.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | COR -10.0 (-5.0) | 137.5 (+3.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -10.3 (-5.3) | 136.3 (+4.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2025 | COR 97 – 78 LAF |
| Nov 16, 2024 | COR 81 – 71 LAF |
| Dec 2, 2023 | COR 79 – 71 LAF |
| Nov 13, 2021 | COR 90 – 85 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#131) | -4.2 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#88) | -2.78 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#83) | -3.70 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#185) | 0.411 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 12.5% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.3% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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