Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | COR -500 LAF +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | COR -12.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -7.5 (+2.5) | 146.1 (+5.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | COR -11.4 (-1.4) | 142.2 (+9.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | COR -6.9 (+3.1) | 145.5 (+6.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -8.1 (+1.9) | 146.4 (+5.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2025 | COR 97 – 78 LAF |
| Dec 2, 2023 | COR 79 – 71 LAF |
| Dec 4, 2022 | COR 73 – 68 LAF |
| Nov 13, 2021 | COR 90 – 85 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#234) | -7.3 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#167) | -0.46 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#179) | -1.28 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.708 (#29) | 0.564 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 24.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 58.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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