Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | LAF +175 COR -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +19 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -6.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -3.6 (-22.6) | 153.1 (+21.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | COR -0.7 (-18.3) | 161.3 (+13.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | LAF -1.5 (-20.5) | 155.5 (+19.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -2.5 (-21.5) | 154.1 (+20.9) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | COR 81 – 71 LAF |
| Dec 2, 2023 | COR 79 – 71 LAF |
| Dec 4, 2022 | COR 73 – 68 LAF |
| Nov 13, 2021 | COR 90 – 85 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-6 |
| Home | 6-10 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 85.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 84.6 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#276) | -0.8 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#283) | -1.35 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#285) | -2.00 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#310) | 0.188 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 61.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 54.5% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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