Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ -2500 SEMO +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +7 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -15.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -14.7 (-7.7) | 153.6 (+31.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -14.1 (-7.1) | 151.5 (+33.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -14.5 (-7.5) | 152.0 (+33.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -16.4 (-9.4) | 153.8 (+31.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | MIZ 89 – 84 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#38) | 1.3 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#9) | 0.03 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.56 (#9) | -0.04 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#56) | 0.505 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.92 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.4% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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